Monthly Portfolio Update – January 2021

The most difficult thing is the decision to act, the rest is merely tenacity.

Amelia Earhart

This is my fiftieth monthly portfolio update. I complete this regular update to check progress against my goal.

Portfolio goal

My objective is to reach a portfolio of $2,585,000 by 31 July 2022. This would produce a real annual income of about $90,500 (in 2021 dollars).

This portfolio objective is based on an assumed safe withdrawal rate of 3.5 per cent.

Portfolio summary

Vanguard Lifestrategy High Growth Fund$775,158
Vanguard Lifestrategy Growth Fund$43,025
Vanguard Lifestrategy Balanced Fund$79,641
Vanguard Diversified Bonds Fund$107,429
Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS)$269,445
Vanguard International Shares ETF (VGS)$117,712
Betashares Australia 200 ETF (A200)$257,703
Telstra shares (TLS)$1,662
Insurance Australia Group shares (IAG)$6,144
NIB Holdings shares (NHF)$6,624
Gold ETF (GOLD.ASX)$109,475
Secured physical gold$17,648
Plenti (P2P lending)$5,480
Bitcoin$494,160
Raiz app (Aggressive portfolio)$19,508
Spaceship Voyager app (Index portfolio)$3,106
BrickX (P2P rental real estate)$4,447
Total portfolio value$2,318,367
(+$52,337)

Asset allocation

Australian shares37.4%
Global shares20.9%
Emerging market shares1.8%
International small companies2.3%
Total international shares25.0%
Total shares62.4% (-12.6%)
Total property securities0.2% (+0.2%)
Australian bonds3.4%
International bonds7.2%
Total bonds10.5% (-4.5%)
Gold5.5%
Bitcoin21.3%
Gold and alternatives26.8% (+16.8%)

Presented visually, the chart below is a high-level view of the current asset allocation of the portfolio.

Pie chart of asset allocation

Comments

This month the portfolio has increased by over $52,000, extending the strongest period of growth since this record started.

This has contributed to an expansion in the overall portfolio of over 25 per cent since the beginning of October last year. In this month alone the portfolio grew around 2.3 per cent.

Monthly portfolio growth 2017-2021

Increases in the price of Bitcoin have provided the key motive force for the portfolio both this month and since October. Equities have made a smaller contribution since October, but the value of equity holdings actually fell slightly this month.

Part of this is related to the reduction in value arising from the payout of substantial distributions earlier this month, which will be averaged back into the portfolio over the next six months. The value of gold and fixed interest holdings have also marginally declined.

Stepping back, the result of this is the strongest consecutive four month performance of the portfolio on record, based quite narrowly on the fortunes of just two of its components, equities and Bitcoin.

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