Monthly Portfolio Update – September 2022

All of this has happened before. All of this will happen again.

J.M.Barrie, Peter Pan

This is my seventieth monthly portfolio update. I complete this regular update to check progress against my goal.

Portfolio goal

My objective is to maintain a portfolio of at least $2,620,000 through 2022. This should be capable of producing an annual income from total portfolio returns of about $91,600 (in 2022 dollars).

This portfolio objective is based on an assumed safe withdrawal rate of 3.5 per cent.

A secondary focus through 2022 will be achieving the minimum equity target of $2,100,000.

Portfolio summary

Vanguard Lifestrategy High Growth Fund$678,031
Vanguard Lifestrategy Growth Fund$36,524
Vanguard Lifestrategy Balanced Fund$66,842
Vanguard Diversified Bonds Fund$85,539
Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS)$336,849
Vanguard International Shares ETF (VGS)$372,579
Betashares Australia 200 ETF (A200)$254,676
Telstra shares (TLS)$2,052
Insurance Australia Group shares (IAG)$5,828
NIB Holdings shares (NHF)$8,922
Gold ETF (GOLD.ASX)$115,862
Secured physical gold$18,365
Bitcoin$333,214
Raiz app (Aggressive portfolio)$18,111
Spaceship Voyager app (Index portfolio)$2,993
BrickX (P2P rental real estate)$4,635
Total portfolio value$2,341,022
(-$63,972)

Asset allocation

Australian shares38.2%
Global shares29.6%
Emerging market shares1.6%
International small companies2.0%
Total international shares33.2%
Total shares71.3% (-8.7%)
Total property securities0.2% (+0.2%)
Australian bonds2.6%
International bonds5.9%
Total bonds8.5% (+3.5%)
Gold5.7%
Bitcoin14.2%
Gold and alternatives20.0% (+5.0%)

Presented visually, the chart below is a high-level view of the current asset allocation of the portfolio.

Chart - Asset Allocation

Comments

Losses in the portfolio worsened this month, with a futher fall of around $64,000 in the value of the portfolio. This resulted in a contraction of 2.3 per cent in the size of the overall portfolio.

This means that the portfolio now sits just above a level orginally reached in the early months of 2021. In other words, a period of more than 20 months has passed, with no sustained increase in portfolio value.

The portfolio continues to sits well under the overall revised portfolio goal of $2.62 million.

Chart - Monthly portfolio value

The largest losses this month occurred in the Australian shares segment of the portfolio, with falls of around 6.3 per cent in the value of holdings. By contrast international shares fell by slightly less, only losing 3.9 per cent.

Bonds also continued to fall in value, as yields sharply increased through the month. The value of bonds declined 3.4 per cent, and total holdings fell to under $200,000 for the first time since the second half of 2015.

In a break from past months, Bitcoin has defied recent correlations with equities markets and slightly gained in value across the month, rising by 1.9 per cent. Similarly, gold as a defensive asset has moved from recent losses to increase by more than 2.5 per cent on a monthly basis.

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