Monthly Portfolio Update – February 2020

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No one would have crossed the ocean if he could have gotten off the ship in the storm.
Charles Kettering

This is my thirty-ninth portfolio update. I complete this update monthly to check my progress against my goal.

Portfolio goal

My objective is to reach a portfolio of $2 180 000 by 1 July 2021. This would produce a real annual income of about $87 000 (in 2020 dollars).

This portfolio objective is based on an expected average real return of 3.99 per cent, or a nominal return of 6.49 per cent.

Portfolio summary

  • Vanguard Lifestrategy High Growth Fund – $772 191
  • Vanguard Lifestrategy Growth Fund  – $44 099
  • Vanguard Lifestrategy Balanced Fund – $81 139
  • Vanguard Diversified Bonds Fund – $111 360
  • Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS) – $174 810
  • Vanguard International Shares ETF (VGS) – $32 294
  • Betashares Australia 200 ETF (A200) – $250 949
  • Telstra shares (TLS) – $1 844
  • Insurance Australia Group shares (IAG) – $8 083
  • NIB Holdings shares (NHF) – $5 580
  • Gold ETF (GOLD.ASX)  – $114 375
  • Secured physical gold – $18 455
  • Ratesetter (P2P lending) – $13 971
  • Bitcoin – $149 920
  • Raiz app (Aggressive portfolio) – $17 424
  • Spaceship Voyager app (Index portfolio) – $2 446
  • BrickX (P2P rental real estate) – $4 485

Total portfolio value: $1 803 425 (-$69 900 or -3.7%)

Asset allocation

  • Australian shares – 42.1% (2.9% under)
  • Global shares – 22.3%
  • Emerging markets shares – 2.3%
  • International small companies – 3.1%
  • Total international shares – 27.7% (2.3% under)
  • Total shares – 69.8% (5.2% under)
  • Total property securities – 0.2% (0.2% over)
  • Australian bonds – 4.6%
  • International bonds – 9.7%
  • Total bonds – 14.3% (0.7% under)
  • Gold – 7.4%
  • Bitcoin – 9.7%
  • Gold and alternatives – 15.7% (5.7% over)

Presented visually, below is a high-level view of the current asset allocation of the portfolio.

Pie Feb 20

Comments

Equity markets fell significantly this month, resulting in a portfolio loss of around $70 000. This is the largest monthly fall across the three years of this record in dollar terms, and the third largest as a proportion of assets.

MPV Feb 20The falls follow a large increase in the portfolio value last month, and have occurred amidst increasing global impacts and fears from the spread of the Corona virus. The losses are mainly in Australian and global equities and have been concentrated in the last two weeks. Continue reading “Monthly Portfolio Update – February 2020”

Monthly Portfolio Update – January 2020

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The day advanced as if to light some work of mine
Thoreau, Walden

This is my thirty-eighth portfolio update. I complete this update monthly to check my progress against my goal.

Portfolio goal

My objective is to reach a portfolio of $2 180 000 by 1 July 2021. This would produce a real annual income of about $87 000 (in 2020 dollars).

This portfolio objective is based on an expected average real return of 3.99 per cent, or a nominal return of 6.49 per cent.

Portfolio summary

  • Vanguard Lifestrategy High Growth Fund – $813 282
  • Vanguard Lifestrategy Growth Fund  – $45 802
  • Vanguard Lifestrategy Balanced Fund – $83 162
  • Vanguard Diversified Bonds Fund – $110 472
  • Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS) – $178 121
  • Vanguard International Shares ETF (VGS) – $34 965
  • Betashares Australia 200 ETF (A200) – $272 399
  • Telstra shares (TLS) – $2 046
  • Insurance Australia Group shares (IAG) – $8 970
  • NIB Holdings shares (NHF) – $6 492
  • Gold ETF (GOLD.ASX)  – $106 701
  • Secured physical gold – $17 252
  • Ratesetter (P2P lending) – $14 755
  • Bitcoin – $153 530
  • Raiz app (Aggressive portfolio) – $18 365
  • Spaceship Voyager app (Index portfolio) – $2 534
  • BrickX (P2P rental real estate) – $4 477

Total portfolio value: $1 873 325 (+$94 067)

Asset allocation

  • Australian shares – 42.8% (2.2% under)
  • Global shares – 22.6%
  • Emerging markets shares – 2.4%
  • International small companies – 3.1%
  • Total international shares – 28.1% (1.9% under)
  • Total shares – 70.9% (4.1% under)
  • Total property securities – 0.2% (0.2% over)
  • Australian bonds – 4.5%
  • International bonds – 9.5%
  • Total bonds – 14.0% (1.0% under)
  • Gold – 6.6%
  • Bitcoin – 8.2%
  • Gold and alternatives – 14.8% (4.8% over)

Presented visually, below is a high-level view of the current asset allocation of the portfolio.

Pie alloc Jan 20

Comments

This month saw exceptional growth in the portfolio, with a net increase of $94 000 after a small fall last month.Monthly prog Jan 20This is the fastest growth in the past half year. It is also the second largest absolute increase in over three years of measurement.

As the histogram below – which counts the frequency of occurrences in a specified range of monthly value changes (with red denoting losses) – makes clear, this is one of the most positive outcomes in the three year record.

Continue reading “Monthly Portfolio Update – January 2020”

Portfolio Income Update – Half Year to December 31, 2019

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Whoever wishes to read the future has to leaf through the past.

André Malraux

Twice a year I prepare a summary of total income from my portfolio. This is my seventh passive income update since starting this record. As part of the transparency and accountability of this journey, I regularly report this income.

As discussed in my recent post Between Wind and Water, my goal is to build up a portfolio capable of providing a passive income of around $87 000 by July 2021 (Portfolio Objective).

Passive income summary

  • Vanguard Lifestrategy High Growth – $9 024
  • Vanguard Lifestrategy Growth – $517
  • Vanguard Lifestrategy Balanced – $490
  • Vanguard Diversified Bonds – $86
  • Vanguard ETF Australian Shares ETF (VAS) – $2 904
  • Vanguard ETF International Shares ETF (VGS) – $299
  • Betashares Australia 200 ETF (A200) – $5 845
  • Telstra shares – $43
  • Insurance Australia Group shares – $349
  • NIB shares – $156
  • Ratesetter (P2P lending) – $862
  • Raiz app (Aggressive portfolio) – $130
  • Spaceship Voyager app (Index portfolio) – $0
  • BrickX (P2P rental real estate) – $45

Total passive income in half year to December 31, 2019: $20 750

The chart below sets out the passive income received on a half-yearly basis from the portfolio over the past three and a half years.PIU HY Bar progress Dec 19

The following chart is a breakdown of the percentage contribution of each investment type to the total half-year income.

PIU HY Dist Pie - Dec19

Comments

The total half year passive income from the portfolio was $20 750, or the equivalent of around $3 460 per month. This was around the bottom of the range of my expectations, and it continues the pattern of lower December half distributions.

This result, however, is still around a third higher than the previous comparable December half, and almost double that of three years ago.

Continue reading “Portfolio Income Update – Half Year to December 31, 2019”

There Lies the Port – Year in Review and Monthly Portfolio Update – December 2019

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There lies the port; the vessel puffs her sail:
There gloom the dark, broad seas.
Tennyson, Ulysses 

Year in Review

This year began with a review of my portfolio goals, designed to update the financial independence targets to reflect the median and mean average of annual full-time earnings.

The review also introduced a number of personal financial independence benchmarks, such as meeting credit card expenses or an estimate of actual expenditure through assumed average portfolio earnings. In addition, this year introduced reporting progress on an ‘All Assets’ basis (taking into account superannuation holdings), as well as an immediately accessible portfolio basis.

Destinations closing – The long day wanes

These changes left no less than eight metrics to track and report on. At the beginning of 2019, I had met only two of these eight financial independence measures (Objective #1 and ‘Credit card purchases’ on an all assets basis).

As 2019 closes, six of the eight measures have been met or exceeded, and by contrast only two remaining outstanding.

These two measures remaining to be met are reaching Objective #2 and a portfolio total that would allow the funding of current expenses from the FI portfolio alone. For both, I close out the year within fairly clear sight of these unmet goals. Progress through the year is summarised below.

Continue reading “There Lies the Port – Year in Review and Monthly Portfolio Update – December 2019”